OpenAI optimistically believes it might start being profitable in 2029.
Which is absolutely buck wild when you consider they’ve already signed contacts to spend another trillion dollars over the next five years.
How the fuck is a company that has $5 billion in revenue today going to grow that revenue by at minimum $995 billion by 2029? There’s just no fucking way, man…
Absolutely.
I’d recommend diving into this for a more scientifically ‘thought out’ and optimistic extrapolation: https://www.orionsarm.com/
Man… if the Technopocolpyse is what you consider optimistic, I’d hate to find out what you consider pessimism!
The September that lasted 32 years…
Alas, the damage is done and there’s no going back.
Yeah, neutrino detectors don’t work like conventional telescopes because neutrinos don’t behave like light. Technically, neutrinos are actually a type of dark matter since they don’t participate in the electromagnetic interaction, and that makes them very hard to detect.
When a beam of light shines on your body, some of that light is absorbed as heat and a lot of it is reflected off of you. Neutrinos don’t do that. Tens of billions of neutrinos from the sun hit your body every second and just… don’t do anything. They pass straight through you with zero interaction whatsoever. Very, very rarely they’ll interact with something, and neutrino detectors are designed to both maximize the chances of such an interaction happening, and to make those interactions more easy to spot.
I’m not up to speed on all the technical details of JUNO in particular, but most neutrino detectors are searching for events that look something like this:
A neutrino enters the detection medium and directly collides with an electron. Enough energy is transferred into the electron that it is stripped free from its parent molecule and moves through the medium at very high speed. If it moves fast enough, it can even exceed the speed that light travels through the medium, creating something sort of like a sonic boom — only with light. We call this Cherenkov radiation. The scintillating properties of the medium boost this signal and photomultipliers at the perimeter of the detector gather this radiation so that the event can be reconstructed by computers.
The liquid is the detection media.
[Linear alkylbenzene] was identified as a promising liquid scintillator by the SNO+ neutrino detector due to its good optical transparency (≈20 m), high light yield, low amount of radioactive impurities, and its high flash point (140 °C) which makes safe handling easier. It is also available in large volumes at a relatively low cost at the SNO+ site. It is now used in several other neutrino detectors, such as the RENO and Daya Bay Reactor Neutrino Experiments.The material performs well in deep underwater environments. One study suggested LAB as a suitable material to be employed in a Secret Neutrino Interactions Finder (SNIF), a type of antineutrino detector designed to detect the presence of nuclear reactors at distances of between 100 and 500 km.
Neutrino detectors are basically just huge scintillators (systems that absorb ionizing radiation and re-emit that energy as light). The liquid inside of JUNO (Linear alkylbenzene) has especially attractive scintillating properties.
To an extent, I think that’s already happening. ChatGPT5 released with a huge amount of hype, but when users started playing with it, it was incredibly underwhelming — and flat-out worse than 4 in many cases… all while burning though even more tokens than ever. Definitely seems like that capabilities of this technology have hit a plateau that won’t be solved with more training.